AI prediction marketsPrediction markets on artificial-intelligence models, companies and benchmarks.The busiest live AI events on Polymarket by 24-hour volume, with the leading outcome as implied probability (read 3 Nov 2026, 13:56 UTC):

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap — $1.75–$2.0T: 31%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? — ↑$1.5T: 94%

How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? — $75B to $85B: 27%

When will Gemini Carbon be released? — November 9–November 15: 62%

Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Google: 56%

Gemini Carbon released by...? — December 31: 99%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? — December 31: 96%

Gemini Carbon released on...? — November 10: 48%

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? — December 31: 97%

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...? — December 31, 2028: 32%

Which company has the best AI model end of November? — Google: 69%

Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Debut? — 1470+: 40%

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut? — 1500+: 94%

OpenAI IPO by...? — June 30, 2027: 47%

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut? — Top 10: 91%

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? — $1.50–$1.75T: 56%

#3 AI Lab end of January? (Style Control On) — Meta: 32%

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? — 0: 71%

When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? — November 2–November 8: 70%

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026? — $7.50+: 28%

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